Doomscrolling

AI & Autonomous Systems

Updated Feb 26, 2026

Autonomous Strike Loops Enter Real-World Conflict Theaters

Deployments are moving from supervised decision support to partially autonomous execution in contested environments.

Impact 2/5Probability 4/5Score 8/25GlobalModerate

Biosecurity

Updated Feb 25, 2026

Synthetic Pathogen Capability Diffusion Is Outpacing Oversight

Lower technical barriers and distributed tooling raise misuse risk despite stronger awareness and defensive funding.

Impact 3/5Probability 5/5Score 15/25CivilizationalSerious

Climate Tipping Signals

Updated Feb 24, 2026

Heat Extremes Are Stress-Testing Regional Power Reliability

Persistent climate anomalies are amplifying infrastructure stress, insurance losses, and service instability.

Impact 4/5Probability 1/5Score 4/25ExistentialLow

Food System Fragility

Updated Feb 23, 2026

Food Price Volatility Signals Multi-Region Supply Fragility

Small disruptions are now transmitting faster across shipping, fertilizer, and regional currency systems.

Impact 5/5Probability 2/5Score 10/25LocalModerate

Financial Contagion

Updated Feb 22, 2026

Sovereign Debt Stress Is Building Cross-Market Transmission Channels

Liquidity pressure and refinancing cliffs indicate vulnerability to confidence shocks and policy lag.

Impact 1/5Probability 3/5Score 3/25RegionalLow

Cyberwarfare

Updated Feb 21, 2026

Critical Infrastructure Intrusions Suggest Preparatory Cyber Positioning

Observed activity patterns align with long-lead preparation rather than short-term disruptive campaigns.

Impact 2/5Probability 4/5Score 8/25GlobalModerate

Energy Grid Risk

Updated Feb 27, 2026

Grid Interdependency Creates New Cascading Failure Pathways

Localized outages reveal system-wide coupling that can rapidly magnify disruption and recovery timelines.

Impact 3/5Probability 5/5Score 15/25CivilizationalSerious

Semiconductor Chokepoints

Updated Feb 26, 2026

Chip Supply Concentration Keeps Strategic Industries Exposed

Single-point manufacturing dependencies continue to constrain resilience under geopolitical stress.

Impact 4/5Probability 1/5Score 4/25ExistentialLow

Water Security

Updated Feb 25, 2026

Groundwater Depletion Is Becoming a Strategic Destabilizer

Hydrological decline is increasing migration pressure, production uncertainty, and interstate tension.

Impact 5/5Probability 2/5Score 10/25LocalModerate

Nuclear Stability

Updated Feb 24, 2026

Deterrence Posture Drift and the Risk of Miscalculation

Current signals point to rising coordination failures between military doctrine, communication channels, and escalation controls.

Impact 1/5Probability 3/5Score 3/25RegionalLow

Monitoring for next entries