Published

Open day

Mon, Mar 9, 2026

5 articles

A central-bank-style risk room with a Gulf map and rising oil-price cues, representing an abrupt energy shock turning into macroeconomic stress

Financial Systems

10:30 UTC

The Oil Price Spike Is Reopening a Global Inflation and Recession Channel

On March 9, 2026, Brent crude briefly neared $120 a barrel as the war around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz widened supply risk. That price move threatened a broader macro shock: higher inflation, delayed rate cuts, and renewed balance-of-payments stress for vulnerable importers.

Oil MarketsInflation ShockStrait of Hormuz
GlobalSevere
A strategic map of Cuba with power and fuel disruptions, representing cascading service failures

Critical Infrastructure

09:18 UTC

Cuba's Grid Failures Are Becoming a Health and Governance Risk

March 2026 blackouts across western Cuba pushed the island's energy emergency beyond the power sector into health care, water, sanitation, transport, and tourism revenue. Repeated plant failures, fuel scarcity, and restricted access to finance and spare parts are now reinforcing each other, leaving less capacity to absorb the next outage or storm.

Energy SecurityCubaPublic Health
RegionalSevere
Strategic map of Poland with energy substations and sabotage markers in a control-room setting

Cyberwarfare

Watchlist

08:57 UTC

Why Poland’s Failed Energy Intrusions Still Matter for Europe’s Power Grid

CERT Polska's January 30, 2026 report described the December attacks on Polish wind, solar, and heat sites as operational-technology sabotage attempts against live energy assets. They did not cause a national blackout, but they exposed a repeatable path for regional grid disruption and keep the case on the European watchlist.

Energy SecurityGrid SecurityOperational Technology
RegionalModerate
An urban smoke plume over fuel infrastructure, representing long-tail public health and ecological damage

Environmental Health

08:35 UTC

Tehran Oil-Depot Strikes Are Spreading Toxic Exposure Across the City

Fuel-depot strikes in and around Tehran pushed military escalation into a mass urban toxic-exposure event. The immediate burden is respiratory and cardiovascular stress, while repeated fires or cleanup failures could spread residue, runoff contamination, service disruption, and political blowback across the city.

IranPublic HealthFuel Infrastructure
RegionalSevere
A strategic map of the Gulf with disrupted shipping lanes and industrial cargo cues, representing an active closure shock

Global Trade

08:35 UTC

The Strait of Hormuz Is Already a Chemical and Industrial Shock, Not Just an Oil Story

By March 9, 2026, the International Monetary Fund said traffic through the Strait of Hormuz had fallen about 90 percent. That turned a military crisis into a chemical and industrial supply-chain shock affecting petrochemicals, fertilizers, sulfur, lubricants, containers, and Gulf transshipment flows.

Energy SecuritySupply ChainsStrait of Hormuz
GlobalSevere

Published

Open day

Sat, Feb 28, 2026

1 article

Public-health monitoring room focused on Ethiopia during Marburg post-outbreak surveillance

Biosecurity

WatchlistStaleNo new source update in the last 14 days. This means older verification, not necessarily a resolved or false signal.

11:20 UTC

Why Ethiopia’s Marburg Outbreak Stays on the Watchlist After Official End

Ethiopia ended its Marburg outbreak in January 2026, but the risk shifted to whether surveillance and cross-border detection stay strong after the emergency label ends. If monitoring weakens too early, a renewed chain of transmission could travel farther before authorities catch it.

Marburg VirusEthiopiaOutbreak Surveillance
RegionalModerate

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